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发表于 2005-7-22 18:01:00
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proliferation problem." And they'd be thirty to forty pages
<br> with footnotes. They didn't realize that I was getting to the
<br> office at 7:00 a.m., having to read the overnight
<br> intelligence; briefing of the daily press; a couple of memos
<br> for testimony on the Hill later in the day; and meet with the
<br> Secretary of State at 7:30. The idea that I would have time to
<br> read a thirty page paper -- ! I used to write them, and I
<br> found that I couldn't read them. So there's a totally
<br> different world between high-level policy positions and
<br> academic thinking. And my problem is that I like both. I like
<br> action but I also like the chance to be reflective. And so
<br> I've sort of been torn back and forth between the two. But
<br> certainly what is true is that when you're in a policy
<br> position you wind up using up the intellectual capital that
<br> you've accumulated when you were outside. And it's outside
<br> that you are able to rebuild or build up your intellectual
<br> capital.
<br> How has theory informed your policy work?
<br> Well, in the book Power and Interdependence that Bob Keohane
<br> and I wrote just before I first went into government, we had
<br> talked about the areas where realism, based on threats of
<br> force and security, was dominant or was the most useful
<br> theory. In other areas where international relations were
<br> becoming more complex, where there are more transnational
<br> actors, we called it "complex interdependence." And it was
<br> intriguing, when I was in the State Department, to find
<br> examples of each. Dealing with the nuclear issues, I found
<br> that sometimes when we were trying to persuade France not to
<br> sell a reprocessing plant to Pakistan or, in terms of the
<br> relationship between Pakistan and the India, to damp down any
<br> potential nuclear arms race between them, the realist theories
<br> were extremely helpful. But there are other instances, for
<br> example, when we were trying to change the policy in the
<br> Carter administration on the use of plutonium reprocessing,
<br> there were suddenly transnational aspects which were very
<br> powerful. The so-called nuclear priesthood or nuclear mafia,
<br> the group of people who deeply believed that the reprocessing
<br> and the use of plutonium is the future of the world, had more
<br> in common with each other than they did with their fellow
<br> co-nationals. So there were transnational alliances made
<br> between, say, departments of energy and science and technology
<br> against state departments and defense departments. So there
<br> were odd coalitions that were formed that weren't caught by
<br> the simple realist model.
<br> We should explain to the audience that in complex
<br> interdependency, the emphasis is on different kinds of actors
<br> and not just states; priority among issues varies; and the use
<br> of force may not happen.
<br> Right. Basically, the realist assumption is that security is
<br> the dominant concern, force is the major instrument, and
<br> governments more or less maintain their coherence as they
<br> interact with each other. In complex interdependence, security
<br> is less dominant as a concern, force is less useful as an
<br> instrument, you have many transnational actors that are going
<br> to and fro across borders, making coalitions that are not
<br> always well described by national labels. And so when I went
<br> into government I was quite fascinated to find evidence that
<br> these things that I'd written about actually existed and were
<br> influencing the policies that I was trying to deal with.
<br> So in terms of the theoretical debate in international
<br> relations, which is your field, when you went out into the
<br> real world you found it useful to have a foot in each pond, so
<br> to speak.
<br> That's right. I think one cannot understand the world or deal
<br> with the world if one has simply a realist or a liberal view.
<br> The world is a mixture of both. When I was later in the
<br> Clinton administration in the Defense Department dealing with
<br> policy in East Asia, I found realist theory very useful.
<br> You're looking ahead toward the balance of power in East Asia
<br> as you see the rise of Chinese power, and you could argue that
<br> there would be three major powers in the region: U.S., China,
<br> and Japan. And that when you have a three-part balance of
<br> power, it's better to be part of the two than the one, and
<br> therefore reaffirming the U.S. - Japan relationship so that
<br> China couldn't play off the U.S. against Japan. Then from that
<br> position of strength, to jointly engage China and offer them a
<br> position as a responsible actor -- that was pretty much based
<br> on realist theory. |
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