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发表于 2006-4-7 07:51:29
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<font face="宋体">此</font><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">经典现实主义对国家利益问题的理解是把国家安全作为其核心</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">把力量大小作为其尺度。力量越大</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">就拥有越大的国家利益</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这为许多学者所接受</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">也是许多政治现实主义信奉的信条。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><br /><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">理想主义则认为国家利益以普遍的道德和意识形态来定义</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">国际政治是一个总体和谐、可以通过道德和国际法求得进步的过程。理想主义的主要代表人物美国总统伍德罗</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">·</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">威尔逊在一战后提出的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">“</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">十四点计划</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">”,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">是理想主义国际秩序的经典宣言。理想主义主张在国际事务中实行公开外交、民族自决、集体安全。这种理想主义的国家利益观反映到对外政策上</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">就形成了两种观点</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">:</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">一种是乐观的不干预主义</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">一种是弥赛亚式的干预主义。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">③</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">美国的对外政策就带有这种强烈的救世主情结。从干涉越南的多米诺骨牌理论到卡特的人权外交</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">美国时时以推行民主、自由和开放的道德卫士自居。杜鲁门曾说</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">:“</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">全世界自由的人民指望着我们支持他们维护他们的自由。如果我们领导不力</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">我们就可能危及世界和平</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">———</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">而肯定会危及我们自己国家的利益。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">”④<br /><br /></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">由于理想主义国家利益理论的内核是抽象的道德和意识形态</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">因此理想主义的国家利益观是比较固定的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">在对外政策中以政权体制和意识形态划线。同现实主义相比</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">两者都着重于探讨国家利益的性质与内*</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">对国家间的利益关系变化鲜有论及。当然</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">从它们各自的理论出发</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">可以得出一些比较明显的推论。例如</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">在理想主义看来</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">只要国家的政权体制发生了不同于本国体制的变化</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">敌国就对自己的利益造成了威胁。但是这样一种观点是明显经不起推敲的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">所以理想主义者并没有进行进一步的阐发或发展。现实主义也一样。如果别国的力量增长</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">就会威胁到自己的国家安全利益</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">两国关系就会恶化。这样一种推论同样经不起推敲。因此经典现实主义也没有做出这样的推断。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><br /><font face="宋体">、新现实主义和新自由主义之争</font><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><br /><br /></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">在新现实主义和新自由主义中</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">国际系统的结构和国际系统的进程</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">(</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">制度</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">)</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这两个系统变量被清晰地提了出来。两者都着力于发展宏大的系统理论</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">对国家的研究微乎其微</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这种情况受到了边缘理论的严厉批评。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">①</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">不过</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">如果对两种理论尤其是新现实主义理论研究更为细致的话</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">我们会发现对国家利益的理解得到了发展</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">深入到了国家间利益关系的层面。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><br /><br /></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">在肯尼思</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">·</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">沃尔兹看来</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">国际结构是国际系统层面的唯一要素</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">制约着国际体系的总体面貌。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">“</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">对于结构理论来说</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">核心的问题是要回答</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">不稳定的状态或事件是在由两个大国构成的体系下</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">还是在由多个大国构成的国际体系下能够得到更好的控制。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">”②</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这种观点在绝大多数学者的认识中都是一种宏观层次的思路</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">被一些批判理论家批判为</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">“</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">空洞</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">”“</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">虚拟</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">”</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">。其实</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">沃尔兹的这个论述为他人所忽略的一个极为重要的方面</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">(</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">可能他自己也没有意识到</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">)</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">是</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">结构对于国际体系的总体制约作用的关键在于结构决定了该体系内国家间利益关系的总体状态。为什么两极结构比多极结构更加稳定</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">?</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">因为两极结构里</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">两个主要国家互相了解</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">利益关系简单明了</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">不会被拖入到小国争斗的泥潭之中而不能自拔。两极国家共同对付新兴敌人的挑战</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">在互相竞争的同时可以合作。与别的国际结构相比</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">两极结构是一个高度僵化却又相对稳定的结构。但是</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这种利益关系是一种总体状态</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">并不是一个关于国家间具体利益关系的普遍模式。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><br /><br /></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">沃尔兹关于国家利益的论述不只这些。在回答基欧汉关于国家理性方面的批评时</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">他重申了实力是利益尺度的经典现实主义论调</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">:</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">国家的行为会随着它的力量地位的变化而变化</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">两极结构里的大国比多极结构里的大国享有更大的自由。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">③</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这种说法极为概括</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">而且难以具体应用于实践</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">因为力量地位相同的国家其行为可能截然不同</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">力量地位对国家行为的决定作用只是根源性的。不过</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">有一点可以肯定的是</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">结构现实主义的一个根本观点是霸权国家必须确保自己的力量优势不受挑战</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">,</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这是霸权国的整体利益。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt">④<br /></span></span></span> |
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