欧盟和美国如今能够给予俄国的不是“大交易”而是重新创立后冷战欧洲秩序的机会。像用科索沃独立换取美国不建立把波兰和捷克包含在内的反导防御体系的交易现在行不通了。欧盟应该集中建立在欧洲西边后现代正在建设中的帝国和后帝国正在建设的民族国家俄国之间共存的机构性基础。两个工程在内部来说都是争议的和脆弱的。世界不知道一个类似欧盟的国家机构,也从来没有见识过俄罗斯民族国家。是沙皇尼古拉二世时的总理维特伯爵(Count Sergei Witte)说过根本没有所谓的俄国这样的东西,只有俄罗斯帝国。
[1] Dmitri V.Trenin, "Getting Russia right", Carnegie endowment for international peace, 2007.
[2] Quoted after Charles Grant, "A new deal with Russia?", Prospect Magazine, November 2007.
[3] Sergei Karaganov, "A new epoch of confrontation", Russia in global affairs. No. 4, October-December 2007.
[4] Robert Cooper, "The breaking of nations: Order and chaos in the twenty-first century", London: Atlantic Books, 2003.
[5] Dmitri V.Trenin, "Getting Russia right", Carnegie endowment for international peace, 2007.
[6] Sergei Lavrov, "Containing Russia: Back to the future?", Russia in global affairs. No.4, October-December 2007.
[7] Cf.: George Kennan, "The sources of Soviet conduct" (1947), "The political personality of Soviet power as we know it today is the product of ideology and circumstances."
[8] Dimitri K. Simes, "Losing Russia. The costs of renewed confrontation", Foreign Affairs, November/December 2007.
[9] Ronald D. Asmus, "Europe's Eastern promise. Rethinking NATO and EU enlargement", Foreign Affairs, January/February 2008.
[10] Konstantin Kosachev, "Russia and the West: Where the differences lie," Russia in global affairs. No. 4, October-December 2007.
译自:“The crisis of the post-Cold War European order”by Ivan Krastev